RED EYE HURRICANE IRMA UPDATE

RED EYE HURRICANE IRMA UPDATE

RED EYE HURRICANE IRMA UPDATE

RED EYE HURRICANE IRMA UPDATE – Good early morning everyone. It’s just a little bit past 12:30am on September 9th and we’ve had a shift westward in the projected track as Irma’s center did a little wobble towards Cuba. It remains to be seen if this helps to weaken Irma slightly, but either way, there are some tweaks we need to make with the possible impact area of Irma.

Westward shift in Irma’s projected path

Late evening and late night models have brought Irma near the west coast rather than up the center of Florida when initially making landfall onto the mainland. While this does affect who will see the worst of the damage, it’s important that the east coast remain alert. Hurricane force winds will most likely be felt on the east coast of Florida unless there are more shifts westward compared to the current projected path.

At this frame, Irma will have already gone over the Keys, but it shows the estimated size of the wind field. From this position, the area in black would see hurricane force winds, with the core of the strongest winds and eyewall winds within the white. According to the model map, the east coast, especially east of I95 could see some strong hurricane force winds. This is also the NE quadrant of the hurricane as it’s making landfall, and areas from south central Florida and towards the east coast, would see tornadic activity.

For this reason being, even though the population on the east coast MAY be spared the worst of the worst in terms of wind produced damage, they could see heavy damage in areas regardless. This is why it cannot be taken lightly. Remember, models can change and even though we’re getting close, powerful hurricanes at this level tend to wobble (just as it is into Cuba). A 10-50 mile shift could mean the difference for some areas of south Florida.

This projected path would also mean the worst situation possible for the Florida Keys before she sets her sights on the west coast with the strongest of winds. Things continue to remain fluid and nothing is set in stone, Irma needs to be watched all the way to the end.

Watching this unfold is like being told to pick a favorite child. Of the places you love, in order to “spare” one, will mean major to catastrophic damage for another. For those who stayed behind in the Keys, it’s still not too late to get out. You have several hours to get to the mainland. Unlike the east coast/west coast situation, yours is almost certainty.

 

 

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