HURRICANE IRMA DRENCHES GEORGIA HURRICANE JOSE ENTERS FRAME

HURRICANE IRMA DRENCHES GEORGIA HURRICANE JOSE ENTERS FRAME

HURRICANE IRMA DRENCHES GEORGIA HURRICANE JOSE ENTERS FRAME

HURRICANE IRMA DRENCHES GEORGIA HURRICANE JOSE ENTERS FRAME – Good morning everyone. Hurricane Irma continues on as a minimal hurricane at this time, bringing gusty winds and heavy rain to northern Florida, parts of South Carolina, and most of Georgia. We’re still coming to terms and trying to figure out what she did to the Florida Keys and Naples as reports are slow to come out, but Irma did clock in at 142mph at Naples airport and most instruments failed in the Keys at Irma’s apex there.

She pounded the east coast with a life threatening storm surge in areas, and created a slew of tornadoes up and down the I95 corridor megalopolis of Florida.

ACTUAL PATH VS. PROJECTED PATH

Hurricane Irma’s final path vs projected path was the difference between some cities not getting hit as bad, and some areas getting it worse. This is why I stressed over and over again that both coasts needed to prepare even though the track changed somewhat, and how no computer model or talented meteorologist can get the final path down to a 1mile margin of error.

As stated a couple of days ago, no matter the path, the storm surge card was dealt for everyone regardless. However, the eye wall saw areas such Marathon Key and Naples get the worst of the worst wind-wise when the computers showed a near miss. Tampa and Sarasota were set to get pounded severely, but were spared the very worst when Irma made landfall at Naples and started to weaken thereafter.

In the end, everyone saw something from Hurricane Irma and landfalling hurricanes have many facets as far as effects, which is why everyone needed to prepare and take her seriously.

JOSE STEPS INTO THE ON-DECK CIRCLE AND WE KEEP A CLOSE EYE

The above is NOT a forecast, but a frame of the latest GFS model run come next Tuesday/Wednesday. Just like Irma 8-10 days out, we have a LONG way to go with Hurricane Jose. Models have him doing a loopty loop off of the east coast and I’m not a big fan of models when they do this. Sure, storms in the past have done this, but models typically have a problem depicting where a system is going when they show this type of movement so far out. So, we watch closely and treat Jose exactly like we treated Irma, with methodical caution and approach as we see how Irma’s final demise and other features affect Jose.

LOCAL FORECAST

A somber but beautiful day unfolds as we pay respects to our lost and reflect on the events of September 11, 2001. We’ll have clear skies and upper 70’s. The warmth I’ve been talking about for too long, finally returns this week. It seems like ages ago, but I said the only thing stopping the warmth, was anything tropical. Well, we had Harvey and Irma both give the atmosphere a good jolt, which is impossible to predict when they didn’t exist yet.

Tomorrow, unseasonably warm air returns, with sunny skies and a moderately humid mid 80’s. Wednesday we cool off slightly due to the fringe effects of Irma’s remnants. It’ll be mostly cloudy and humid, highs near 80, and the slight chance of a few showers. Sun returns a little more on Thursday, and so does the warmth. We’ll have another very warm day and mid 80’s for highs. 80’s and humidity continue for Friday, but we should see a few showers and storms scattered about as cooler air works its way in for the weekend.

Next weekend is looking beautiful, with seasonable temps and sunny skies, highs in the upper 70’s to near 80 both Saturday and Sunday.

 

 

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